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Start and Sit: Week 2

Start and Sit: Week 2 Scott Spratt 17 Sep 2020, 03:06 pm

Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott

With exactly one week in the books, participates haven’t performed residence and superhighway starts to offer evidence of possible changes to the value of home-field advantage this year. But at least in Week 1, home quarterbacks were significantly more productive than their artery equivalents, outscoring them by a combined boundary of 310.2 to 286.5, an average of about 1.5 more points per residence game that is similar to the typical advantage from the last three seasons( 1.2 ). That meets me feel better about my preseason decision to stick with my normal venue settings, and hopefully it can help you perform the best possible start and sit preferences for Week 2.

The following counters piece the players with the best and worst matchups of the week. Each registered actor establishes a true-talent( TT) position that represents how I would grade him with a perfectly neutral activity situation. Then, that grading is adjusted by adding the context of the venue( Ven) — home and road and dome and outside — the forecasted weather( Wea ), and foe predispositions( Opp ). The argument beneath those standings shows how much those contextual causes move projected PPR fantasy moments. That total( Tot) crowd gives people a thorough judgment of how many fantasy items the participate will value this week more or less than his typical total.

You can get these projections for all players, along with yardage and touchdown juttings, by subscribing to FO +.

Quarterbacks

Best Week 2 Matchups – Quarterbacks

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot D.Prescott DAL 1 ATL Rk 11 5 6 4

Pts

+1.8 0.0 +1.3 +3.1 K.Murray ARI 1 WAS Rk 6 4 4 5

Pts

+1.3 0.0 +0.5 +1.8 D.Brees NO 0 LV Rk 14 9 9 8

Pts

+1.0 0.0 +0.8 +1.8 L.Jackson BAL 0 HOU Rk 1 1 1 1

Pts

+0.9 0.0 +0.8 +1.7 K.Cousins MIN 0 IND Rk 25 22 22 19

Pts

+0.7 0.0 +0.7 +1.4

Russell Wilson doesn’t need the help, but he illustrated the improve a quarterback are received by a matchup against the Falcons in Week 1. He finished fourth for the week with 9.2 gardens per aim and tied for first with four progressing touchdowns, and the Falcons generally increase their opponents’ gardens and touchdowns per pass try by 9% and 26%, sixth- and eighth-most in football. This week, Dak Prescott lucks into that draw and does so at home in the dome where he has averaged 2.3 more fantasy levels per sport than on the road since 2017.

Kyler Murray may have announced himself as matchup-proof with 91 grounds and a orchestrate as a athlete in a difficult passing matchup against the 49 ers in Week 1. That’s good information the coming week since the early-season matchup accommodations for Washington may downplay the quality of their pass defense. They suppressed Carson Wentz with eight sacks and could be making a 49 ers-like defensive change this season. But that one-week performance won’t deter me from starting Murray in Week 2. The Eagles are likely particularly susceptible to the pass rush with their preseason onslaught string harms to Brandon Brooks and Lane Johnson, and Wentz still hurled for 270 grounds and two touchdowns. Murray should propel for less and run for more to avoid the volume of sackings Wentz made, and that’s good information for his fiction evaluate this week.

With a true-talent ranking of 14 th, Drew Brees is a matchup play despite his honour. And away from the Superdome where he has averaged 5.1 more fantasy details at home than on the road since 2017 and likely without top receiver Michael Thomas on Monday evening, he seemed destined for a terrace recommendation the coming week. But fortunately for him, he proceeded the Raiders, whose defense raises elapsing grounds and touchdowns per strive by 10% and 28%, both top-eight in football. Panthers starter Teddy Bridgewater ended 65% of his moves for 7.9 gardens per assault against them last week and is likely to be have shed for three touchdowns if Christian McCaffrey hadn’t run a pair of tallies in from the 6- and 3-yard routes. We project Brees for 2.1 touchdowns this week, and that raises him eighth at the position.

Worst Week 2 Matchups – Quarterbacks

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot R.Wilson SEA 1 NE Rk 4 5 5 14

Pts

+0.1 +0.1 -2. 3 -2.1 R.Fitzpatrick MIA 1 BUF Rk 20 20 20 25

Pts

-0. 3 +0.1 -0. 9 -1.1 D.Jones NYG 0 CHI Rk 19 22 22 22

Pts

-0. 9 0.0 -0. 2 -1.1 T.Bridgewater Car 0 TB Rk 16 19 19 21

Pts

-0. 9 0.0 -0. 1 -1.0 M.Stafford DET 0 GB Rk 21 25 26 24

Pts

-0. 6 -0.2 -0. 1 -0.9

After that aforementioned Week 1 performance, you may not be eager to leave Russell Wilson on your terraces this week. You probably shouldn’t in traditional formats, but his matchup against the Patriots beats him out of my top 10 at the position and builds him a bad DFS play at the very least. Despite their countless free-agent and opt-out losings, the Patriots justification was like their 2019 division with top-five DVOA rates against the pass( -2 7.0%, third) and overall( -2 3.8%, fifth) in Week 1. And last season, that protection chipped defending quarterbacks’ passing gardens and touchdowns per strive by 16% and 47% and increased interceptions by 117%, all the most in football.

Matthew Stafford was one D’Andre Swift touchdown catch away from a strong opener against a brawny Bears defense, and he could get No. 1 receiver Kenny Golladay back this week — although Golladay didn’t practice on Wednesday. But I still intimate you avoid Stafford in fantasy the coming week. The Packers chipped transferring touchdowns and promote interceptions by 22% and 37%, respectively, both top-eight in football. And some of Stafford’s success last week likely came from his home venue, where he has averaged 1.1 more fantasy parts than on the road the last three season. He won’t have that luxury in Lambeau this week and puts from my crown 20 because of it.

Running Backs

Best Week 2 Matchups – Running Backs

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot R.Jones TB 1 CAR Rk 10 10 10 7

Pts

+0.2 0.0 +1.8 +2.0 D.Henry TEN 1 JAX Rk 9 8 8 2

Pts

+0.3 0.0 +1.6 +1.9 J.Mixon CIN 0 CLE Rk 16 15 15 12

Pts

0.0 -0.1 +0.6 +0.5 A.Peterson DET 0 GB Rk 31 31 31 30

Pts

-0. 1 0.0 +0.6 +0.5 A.Kamara NO 0 LV Rk 6 6 6 3

Pts

-0. 3 0.0 +0.8 +0.5

With numerous smugglers dealing with counterbalancing venue and resist veers the coming week, two backs stand out as having by far the best matchups. The first is Ronald Jones. Jones assuaged numerous fantasy players’ fears that Leonard Fournette would create a workload committee with 19 suggestions despite a loss in Week 1. That confidence comes at the perfect period with the Bucs hosting the Panthers and their porous scamper security on Sunday. Josh Jacobs rolled for 93 grounds and three orchestrates against them in Week 1, and that exactly continues current trends from last season where they improved resist gardens per strive by 25% and touchdowns per assault by 132%, both “the worlds largest” in football. Much of their defensive personnel has turned over, but possible keystone run-stopper Kawann Short is already hurt again this season. The Panthers defense may improve as they gain event, but Jones is a top-1 0 option for me in Week 2.

Derrick Henry is a no-brainer every-week start in traditional formats, but a residence matchup against the Jaguars arches him to second at the position this week. The Jaguars stupefied the Colts on Sunday, but they did so at home, and even with that game script they admitted the Colts’ trio of backs to gain 218 mixed rushing and receiving gardens and score two touchdowns against them. Generally, the Jaguars boost running back yards and touchdowns per carry by 24% and 58% and yards and touchdowns per target by 22% and 30%. All of those rates are top-1 0 in football, and Henry should benefit from all of them himself as the Titans’ bell-cow back.

Worst Week 2 Matchups – Running Backs

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot C.McCaffrey CAR 0 TB Rk 1 1 1 1

Pts

-0. 2 0.0 -1. 8 -2.0 D.Cook MIN 0 IND Rk 2 4 4 9

Pts

-0. 8 0.0 -0. 7 -1.5 M.Gordon Cavern 0 PIT Rk 21 21 21 26

Pts

-0. 1 0.0 -1. 1 -1.2 J.Jacobs LV 1 NO Rk 4 3 3 7

Pts

+0.2 0.0 -1. 1 -0.9 T.Gurley ATL 0 DAL Rk 13 17 17 17

Pts

-0. 6 0.0 -0. 2 -0.8

We project Christian McCaffrey to lose 2.0 PPR degrees the coming week with a matchup against the Bucs and their No. 1 DVOA run defense from 2019( -3 4.7% ). But that isn’t enough to displace him from the top spot in my rankings. I’m not sure any matchup can.

For actors in full-season leagues, the backs who could lead to lineup decisions are Melvin Gordon in Pittsburgh and Todd Gurley in Dallas. Gordon enjoyed temporary bell-cow status in the second half of the Broncos’ Monday night opener after Phillip Lindsay injured his toe. He may have that workload boost in Week 2 as well. But he still loses field in my higher-rankings with a superhighway matchup against a Steelers defense that is a top-1 0 reducer of hastening yards and touchdowns per strive and receiving yards and touchdowns per target for running backs.

Gurley isn’t quite the bell-cow he used to be in Los Angeles in his new home in Atlanta. And really, that’s probably good information for his full-season value devoted his degenerative knee case. Still, it does open Gurley open to matchup bench recommendations. He’s not quite there this week on the road in Dallas, but he does face a Cowboys team that somewhat chips ranged dallies( 3 %) and grounds per strive( 5 %). That plus the road start — in a dome, but not the run-friendlier home one — throws him to a back-end RB2 for me this week.

Wide Receivers

Best Week 2 Matchups – Wide Receivers

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot D.Hopkins ARI 1 WAS Rk 3 1 1 1

Pts

+2.6 0.0 +0.4 +3.0 C.Lamb DAL 1 ATL Rk 39 27 27 15

Pts

+1.2 0.0 +1.5 +2.7 C.Kirk ARI 1 WAS Rk 42 34 34 26

Pts

+1.1 0.0 +0.5 +1.6 H.Ruggs LV 1 NO Rk 50 44 44 39

Pts

+1.3 0.0 +0.2 +1.5 A.Thielen MIN 0 IND Rk 9 10 10 5

Pts

+0.4 0.0 +1.1 +1.5

If there was any concern with DeAndre Hopkins’ target share as he moved to a brand-new offense, he allayed them with a career-high 14 catches in Week 1. Now he’s my true-talent No. 3 illusion receiver, and he prances to No. 1 the coming week with Michael Thomas likely sidelined and with a matchup against Washington. I mentioned that defense’s ponderous sack total earlier, but sacks are a greater probability for Murray than they are for Hopkins and the other Cardinals receivers. Cornerbacks Kendall Fuller and Ronald Darby are likely to be the relative weakness of Washington’s defense, and based on their predilections from 2019, Washington enhances No. 1 receiver grounds and touchdowns per target by 7% each. No. 2 alternative Christian Kirk could experience a bounce-back from his one-reception season-opener as well. Where the 49 ers trimmed No. 2 receiver consummation charges by 8% and yards per target by 9 %, Washington improves them by 20% and 7 %.

The Cowboys receivers don’t have to worry about their characters this week. The Falcons defense elevates finish percentage and grounds and touchdowns per target by at least 10% to both No. 1 and No. 2 receivers. I spotlit CeeDee Lamb in the counter because he may be the most surprisingly graded of that threesome, but all three of he, Amari Cooper, and Michael Gallup are inside my top 20 the coming week. Stack apart in DFS.

Adam Thielen vaulted into my true-talent top 10 after a Week 1 target share of 32.0% that would have territory him second behind Michael Thomas( 33.3%) last season. And the coming week, he jumps even higher to fifth at its own position in the dome in Indianapolis. The Jaguars offense may be better than many expected, but the Colts justification still improves No. 1 receiver grounds and touchdowns per target by 13% and 115%, each top-five in football. The only concern with Thielen is if the Vikings build a big lead and run out the clock. But at least last season, the Jaguars were a neutral matchup for rival pass plays.

Worst Week 2 Matchups – Wide Receivers

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot D.Metcalf SEA 1 NE Rk 12 11 11 34

Pts

+0.4 +0.2 -2. 7 -2.1 D.Adams GB 1 DET Rk 1 2 2 3

Pts

-0. 4 0.0 -0. 6 -1.0 J.Brown BUF 0 MIA Rk 31 41 41 41

Pts

-0. 7 0.0 -0. 3 -1.0 D.Johnson Quarry 1 Den Rk 29 29 29 37

Pts

-0. 3 0.0 -0. 7 -1.0 T.Lockett Ocean 1 NE Rk 21 22 21 32

Pts

-0. 3 0.0 -0. 7 -1.0

Squaring off with rookie reces A.J. Terrell, DK Metcalf enjoyed one of the biggest matchup raises in Week 1. This week, things turn around on him as he welcomes defensive musician of the year Stephon Gilmore to town. The Patriots trimmed No. 1 receiver gardens and touchdowns per target by 9% and 66%, both top-1 0 in football. But they too have incredible depth at cornerback and similarly mar increased productivity of No. 2, slit, and deep receivers. Metcalf falls from 12 th in my true-talent rankings to 34 th the coming week, and Tyler Lockett suffers about as drastic a fail from 21 st to 32 nd.

John Brown and Diontae Johnson are not the No. 1 receivers for their squads with Stefon Diggs and JuJu Smith-Schuster in city and healthy. But they did conduct their crews with 10 targets apiece in Week 1. That bodes well long-term, but for this week. Brown and Johnson probably belong on your terraces outside the top 35 at the position. The depth threat Brown will have to contend with the Dolphins’ unexpectedly exceptional cornerback squads of Xavien Howard, Byron Jones, and rookie Noah Igbinoghene and could suffer more based on the Dolphins’ tendency to increase their opponents’ run frisks by 19%. And while the Broncos boost grounds and touchdowns per target for No. 1 receivers, they chipped them for No. 2 receivers by 26% and 38%, top-five in football.

Tight Ends

Best Week 2 Matchups – Tight Ends

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot L.Thomas WAS 0 ARI Rk 23 22 22 19

Pts

+0.1 0.0 +0.7 +0.8 J.Smith TEN 1 JAX Rk 17 17 17 17

Pts

+0.1 0.0 +0.3 +0.4 M.Andrews BAL 0 HOU Rk 4 4 4 3

Pts

+0.1 0.0 +0.2 +0.3 M.Gesicki MIA 1 BUF Rk 12 12 12 11

Pts

+0.2 +0.1 0.0 +0.3 D.Goedert PHI 1 LAR Rk 10 11 11 10

Pts

+0.1 0.0 +0.2 +0.3

For the second time in the last two seasons, an injury obstructed George Kittle’s bid to take advantage of the Cardinals’ fantasy-friendly close-fisted aspiration defense. That cheated a great deal of fantasy units of what seemed like a fasten for 100 grounds and a value, and it robbed all of us a look at how versatile rookie guard Isaiah Simmons might change things for that phase of the Cardinal justification this year. Knowing what we know now, I’ll just go ahead and start Washington tight end Logan Thomas in two-tight end leagues and in DFS. He has there eclipsed four targets formerly in his four-year career at the position, but his eight targets from Week 1 could be a sign of things to come with simply Jeremy Sprinkle and Marcus Baugh behind him on the penetration chart.

For actors in shallower leagues, I’ll mention that I’m bullish for Dallas Goedert’s fantasy expectations regardless of matchup. The Eagles have finished first in football with 43% and 57% two-tight end proportions, and he’s 10 th in my true-talent standings. That grading doesn’t change this week, but Goedert does enjoy a slight boost for a matchup with the Rams defense that grows tight intention touchdowns by 13% per target.

Worst Week 2 Matchups – Tight Ends

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot G.Kittle SF 0 NYJ Rk 2 2 2 4

Pts

-0. 3 +0.1 -0. 6 -0.8 J.Doyle IND 1 MIN Rk 18 18 18 19

Pts

+0.2 0.0 -0. 6 -0.4 T.Higbee LAR 0 PHI Rk 7 7 7 7

Pts

-0. 3 +0.1 -0. 2 -0.4 T.Hockenson DET 0 GB Rk 15 15 15 16

Pts

-0. 2 -0.1 0.0 -0.3 I.Thomas CAR 0 TB Rk 21 22 22 23

Pts

-0. 2 0.0 0.0 -0.2

George Kittle, Jack Doyle, and Tyler Higbee all suffered injuries in Week 1. And rather than stress over their health in the event that they do play, I’d show you eschewed all three this week, at least in DFS. Kittle’s fourth-place ranking is about as low-spirited as he was never precipitates at the position. The Jet don’t have an outstanding overall defense, but they abridge close-fisted culminate attainment pace by 7 %, yards per target by 4 %, and touchdowns per target by 62%. The Vikings have a transparently excellent tight end security. They contained the position to a league-worst -4 6.4% DVOA last season and chipped their completion rate, yards, and touchdowns per target by 7 %, 20%, and 103%, all top-three in football. And Higbee would have to leave the dome for a superhighway matchup against an Eagles defense that is a top-1 0 cutter of completion percentage( 4 %), grounds per target (8 %), and touchdowns per target( 20% ).

Kickers

Best Week 2 Matchups – Kickers

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot C.Boswell PIT 1 DEN Rk 9 8 7 5

Pts

+0.1 0.0 +0.2 +0.3 G.Zuerlein DAL 1 ATL Rk 9 6 6 5

Pts

+0.3 0.0 0.0 +0.3 K.Fairbairn HOU 1 BAL Rk 16 8 7 10

Pts

+0.4 0.0 -0. 1 +0.3 R.Succop TB 1 Vehicle Rk 29 28 28 24

Pts

+0.1 0.0 +0.1 +0.2

Among the top kicker alternatives, Chris Boswell and Greg Zuerlein are good alternatives this week. The former look an offensive renaissance with the return of normal quarterback starter Ben Roethlisberger, and while he doesn’t get the extra air time from a game in Denver, the Broncos still improve short field goal aims by 16% thanks in part to a plump red zone security. Meanwhile the latter should enjoy a lift from the Falcons justification which is fantasy-friendly for pretty much every place. In particular, they increase their opponents’ long field goal attempts by 12%, something Zuerlein should be able to take particular advantage of in the dome in Dallas.

Worst Week 2 Matchups – Kickers

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot R.Bullock CIN 0 CLE Rk 13 16 22 20

Pts

-0. 2 -0.1 0.0 -0.3 M.Prater DET 0 GB Rk 6 8 11 10

Pts

-0. 2 -0.1 0.0 -0.3 J.Myers SEA 1 NE Rk 12 12 11 15

Pts

+0.1 0.0 -0. 3 -0.2 J.Lambo JAX 0 TEN Rk 5 5 5 5

Pts

-0. 1 0.0 -0. 1 -0.2

The conspiracy theorist in me thinks that Randy Bullock forged the hamstring injury that he clutched after he missed his game-tying field goal chance at the end of the Bengals’ opening loss to the Chargers, but the team did claim Browns’ anti-hero kicker Austin Seibert off waivers this week. Regardless, you want to avoid the Bengals kicker on the short week in Cleveland on Thursday. Not exclusively is it a difficult venue, but the Browns cut short field goal attempts by 4 %. Wait to confirm the Bengals’ offensive betterments before you trust their kicker in minus matchups.

Justifications

Best Week 2 Matchups – Defenses

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot 49 ers DST SF 0 NYJ Rk 9 8 9 3

Pts

0.0 -0.1 +1.3 +1.2 Steelers DST PIT 1 DEN Rk 3 3 5 2

Pts

+0.1 -0.1 +1.1 +1.1 Legislation DST BUF 0 MIA Rk 1 1 1 1

Pts

+0.1 0.0 +0.6 +0.7 Browns DST CLE 1 CIN Rk 7 5 3 4

Pts

+0.2 +0.2 +0.1 +0.5

The 49 ers couldn’t continue Murray gentle in the pocket on Sunday, but they’ll likely have no trouble against the statue that is Sam Darnold. Their 14% raise of passer interceptions and the Jets’ 45% increase further sacks allowed foreshadow a bunch of turnovers. They rush to third at the position this week, and you can probably safely creek defenses against the Flow for the rest of the season.

If you don’t have one of the highly drafted securities with good matchups the coming week, take a look at the Browns. There’s little shame in their destruction by Lamar Jackson and the Ravens in Week 1. I like their chances to bounce back on Thursday hosting the rookie Joe Burrow. Cincinnati’s offensive line could be better this season, but the Bengals still finished in the bottom 10 of crews with an 8.2% adjusted sack charge in Week 1.

Worst Week 2 Matchups – Defenses

Player Tm Hm Opp Lbl TT Ven Wea Def Tot Eagles DST PHI 1 LAR Rk 7 6 6 13

Pts

+0.1 0.0 -0. 9 -0.8 Saints DST NO 0 LV Rk 12 15 16 17

Pts

-0. 4 0.0 -0. 2 -0.6 Chiefs DST KC 0 LAC Rk 16 21 21 24

Pts

-0. 5 0.0 0.0 -0.5 Vikings DST MIN 0 IND Rk 2 3 4 6

Pts

-0. 4 0.0 -0. 1 -0.5

After a amazingly difficult Week 1 measure against their divisional competitor Washington, things don’t get easier for the Eagles in Week 2 hosting the Rams. If you are eligible to, terrace their justification in fantasy the coming week. The Rams may have the best offensive string in football again. They were already a top-three cutter of attacks for loss and sacks per pass assault. And if Rob Havenstein and Austin Blythe continue to play like they did against Dallas in the opener, they likely won’t grant many of the large-hearted performances that drive defensive fiction success.

The Chiefs will be at least a reasonable defensive start against most of their inferior dissidents, but that may not be the case against the divisional contender Chargers the coming week. Tyrod Taylor is a notoriously republican passer. He has just a 1.4% profession interception proportion. Meanwhile, the Chargers are top-1 0 reducers of tackles for losings and sacks per pass struggle. I have the Chiefs outside my meridian 20 defenses for the week.

1

49er anxieties …

Would not be surprised to see the Niners drop either the Aircraft or Monster sports. Jimmy G has regressed and they don’t have a competent WR regiments right now.

Either NY team could ugly video games up enough to win on a last second stop or FG.

Shanahan’s offense was very vanilla against Arizona. If you experienced the last drive of video games, you’d understand.

2

I think 2019 conclusively …

In reply to by DIVISION

I think 2019 conclusively proved a faltering QB and a complete absence of a WR corps is still sufficient to beat the Whale and Jets.

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